Go — 1 bet available

1 recommendation(s) clear both the market gate and portfolio controls today: Philadelphia.

Net edge ≥ 8 ppSpread ≤ 6 ppBook ≥ $200Daily cap 1/2Reserved exposure 12%/30%

BEST OPPORTUNITY

Philadelphia · BET RAIN / YES

KPHL · latest executable market check 7:55 AM ET

TAKE IT

LATEST PRICE7¢

PRECIPIQ FAIR VALUE40¢

BUY AT≤ 32¢

EDGE+33 pts

Why this pick: PRECIPIQ values RAIN/YES at 40¢ and the latest executable ask is 7¢, leaving +33 pts after the configured edge floor and costs.

Biggest risk: Weather is local: a broader rain event can still miss the official settlement station.

What needs to happen to win: YES wins if the contract's official NWS CLI settlement for KPHL records at least 0.01 in of precipitation during its settlement day.

If the executable price moves above 32¢, the value is gone — PASS.

MiamiPIQ 100% Stand down

New OrleansPIQ 100% Stand down

DenverPIQ 77% Stand down

Los AngelesPIQ 63% Stand down

AustinPIQ 47% Stand down

AtlantaPIQ 63% Stand down

PhiladelphiaPIQ 40% Go · net +33 pp

SeattlePIQ 0% Stand down

PhoenixPIQ 10% Stand down

ChicagoPIQ 0% Stand down

San FranciscoPIQ 0% Stand down

BostonPIQ 0% Stand down

On a normal day a city that clears the gate turns green and reads “Go · net +N pp.”

2 · MARKET EDGE BOARD — evidence expands per row

CityPIQMarketNet edgeVerdict

NWS PoP0%

NBM PoP0%

HRRR0.0mm

AgreementStrong

ConfidenceHigh

Book depth$1,136

All gate + portfolio conditions passed: net edge +33.1 pp · spread 5.9 pp · book $1,136 · recommendation slot reserved · exposure reserve 12% of bankroll cap.

3 · PERFORMANCE — weekly review

Go — 1 bet available

Philadelphia · BET RAIN / YES

Recent accuracy

Per-city record

Brier score