Stand down: the loss cooldown is active, so no new recommendation may be issued today.
The system is doing its job: no city currently clears price, contract alignment, liquidity, edge, and confidence together.
On a normal day a city that clears the gate turns green and reads “Go · net +N pp.”
✋ Held back: net edge 0.1pp < 8pp floor.
✋ Held back: net edge 0.1pp < 8pp floor.
✋ Held back: net edge 0.1pp < 8pp floor.
✋ Held back: net edge 0.2pp < 8pp floor.
✋ Held back: no apples-to-apples market contract is available for this forecast.
✋ Held back: market price not actionable (spread 98.9pp > 6pp cap).
✋ Held back: market price not actionable (spread 48pp > 6pp cap).
✋ Held back: market price not actionable (spread 97pp > 6pp cap; book 146 < 200 min liquidity).
✋ Held back: market price not actionable (spread 7.8pp > 6pp cap).
✋ Held back: market price not actionable (spread 49pp > 6pp cap).
✋ Held back: net edge 0.1pp < 8pp floor.
✋ Held back: no apples-to-apples market contract is available for this forecast.
Lower is better. Live probabilistic sample: 37.